Banca Europeană pentru Reconstrucţie şi Dezvoltare (BERD) şi-a revizuit semnificativ estimările privind evoluţia economiei româneşti, atât în 2024 cât şi în 2025, prognozând că ritmul de creştere va reveni aproape de potenţial abia în 2026, potrivit raportului publicat joi de instituţia financiară internaţională. Raportul publicat joi de BERD atrage atenţia asupra incertitudinilor care decurg din posibilele majorări de tarife pentru importurile în SUA şi măsurile de represalii adoptate de partenerii comerciali. Un scenariu în care SUA ar creşte tarifele la toate importurile cu 10 puncte procentuale ar putea reduce PIB-ul în regiunile BERD cu 0,1 – 0,2% pe termen mediu. Totodată, raportul BERD arată că Bulgaria, Slovenia şi România sunt cele mai expuse la recent anunţatele majorări ale tarifelor americane la oţel şi aluminiu.
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